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Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Precincts where Romney or Obama got 0 votes

Some Republicans have been yelling FRAUD because Mitt Romney got 0 votes in 59 precincts in Philadelphia. Now, while a lack of voter ID might allow someone to commit voter fraud by voting twice, it wouldn't have prevented a Romney supporter from casting a vote for him. Nevertheless, a bunch of Republicans on the Internet are claiming that there's no way this would happen unless there was fraud.

The more reasonable explanation is, of course, as follows:

  • Urban African-American voters are extremely overwhelmingly Democratic, even more so than African-Americans as a whole. In 2004, John Kerry won the overall African-American vote 88-11 according to the exit polls, but in Ward 7 and Ward 8, where 95%+ of the voters were black (most of the whites in Ward 8 at the time were at Bolling Air Force base and I believe vote absentee at home), but won Ward 7 and Ward 8 with over 95% of the vote, keeping Bush under 4% in both of them, getting over 97% in some of the wards
  • As the first black president/general election major-party presidential candidate, Obama's support among African-Americans is/was even higher than normal for a Democrat
  • The GOP's racism, from blatant remarks attacking urban black voters to Republican elected officials around the country embracing birtherism and other more subtle remarks/issues, probably made even some of the (few) conservative urban blacks think twice about voting Republican this year
The combination of these factors makes it quite plausible that in plenty of smaller near-100% black urban precincts, Romney may have lacked even one supporter

Indeed, it wasn't just in swing state urban precincts like the 59 in Philadelphia, 9 in Cleveland or precincts in the safely Democratic but admittedly known for fraud Chicago (37), where Romney got 0 votes Incidentally, because DC's precincts are rather large, the worst Romney did in a DC precinct was 3 votes. But precincts in solidly red states where Romney nevertheless failed to get a single vote include

  • Jefferson County, AL (Birmingham and suburbs) (9)-Precinct 136 [Obama 245, Romney 0, 1 write-in vote], Precinct 157 [Obama 18, Romney 0], Precinct 180 [Obama 165, Romney 0, 1 write-in], Precinct 197 ( [Obama 242, Romney 0], Precinct 206 [Obama 37, Romney 0], Precinct 256 [Obama 315, Romney 0, Johnson 1], Precinct 313 [Obama 406, Romney 0, Goode 1], Precinct 348 [Obama 305, Romney 0, Stein 1], Precinct 351 [Obama 69, Romney 0]
  • Pulaski County, AR (Little Rock) (1) 0130 [Obama 474, Other 2]
  • Fulton County, GA (most of Atlanta and suburbs) (6), Precinct 01C2 of Atlanta [Obama 4, Romney 0], Precinct CP83 (College Park) [Obama 327, Romney 0], Precinct SC08C (unincorporated South Fulton County) [Obama 88, Romney 0], Precinct SC17A (unincorporated South Fulton County) [Obama 44, Romney 0], Precinct SC30A [Obama 93, Romney 0], Precinct UC02B [Obama 5, Romney 0]
  • Dallas County, TX (22)-Precincts 1303-5406, 1707-5484, 2800-5961, 3110-6289, 3921-6638, 4104-6874, 1124-5361,1502-5446, 3015-6093, 3401-6415, 4116-6892, 4118-6895, 3094-6251, 3109-6285, 3200-6298, 4105-6875, 4537-6893, 4030-6747, 1105-5306, 4109-6881, 3025-6111, 3028-6114 [mostly very small precincts, Obama 703 Romney 0 in all 22 combined]
  • Lake County, IN (Gary) (7) 132-G2-05 [Obama 193, Romney 0], 139-G2-15 [Obama 284, Romney 0, Johnson 1], 142-G2-18 [Obama 332, Romney 0], 153-G3-11 [Obama 390, Romney 0], 163-G3-25 [Obama 205, Romney 0, Johnson 1, write-in 1], 172-G4-13 [Obama 323, Romney 0], 174-G4-15 [Obama 264, Romney 0]
  • Jefferson County, KY (Louisville) (4) H151 [Obama 1], L140 [Obama 325], M155 [Obama 153], M157 [Obama 5], N138 [Obama 42]
  • Allen Parish, LA(1) 02-05 [Obama 101, Romney 0]
  • Ascension Parish, LA(1) 00-74 [Obama 123, Romney 0]
  • Avoyelles Parish, LA(1) 02-02 [Obama 4, Romney 0]
  • Bienville Parish, LA (1) 03-07 [Obama 10, Romney 0]
  • Caddo Parish, LA (Shreveport) (2) 00-001 [Obama 310, Romney 0], 00-060 [Obama 565, Romney 0, Johnson 1]
  • Calcasieu Parish, LA (Lake Charles) (1) 00-303W [Obama 116, Romney 0]
  • Concordia Parish, LA (1) 00 4-4B [Obama 9, Romney 0]
  • East Baton Rouge Parish, LA (Baton Rouge) (3) 01 010 A [Obama 356, Romney 0], 01 032 A [Obama 394, Romney 0], 01 100 A [Obama 414, Romney 0, Johnson 1]
  • East Carroll Parish, LA (3) 00 10 [Obama 208, Romney 0], 00 11 [Obama 126, Romney 0], 00 12 [Obama 90, Romney 0]
  • Evangeline Parish, LA (1) 01 1110 [Obama 557, Romney 0, Stein 4, Other 1]
  • Jackson Parish, LA (4) 00 06A [Obama 31, Romney 0], 00 19C [Obama 1, Romney 0], 00 20 [Obama 68, Romney 0], 00 20 B [Obama 9, Romney 0]
  • Lincoln Parish, LA (7) 01 08 [Obama 3] 01 09 [Obama 17], 04 07 [Obama 44], 09 09 [Obama 104], 09 11 [Obama 8], 10 06 [Obama 54], 11 08 [Obama 24]
  • Madison Parish, LA (7) 00 15A [Obama 19], 00 16 [Obama 17], 00 18 [Obama 39], 00 19A [Obama 62], 00 20 [Obama 260], 00 22 [Obama 111, Johnson 1], 00 23 [Obama 75]
  • Morehouse Parish, LA (1) 00 17 [Obama 16]
  • Natchitoches Parish, LA (2) 01 05 [Obama 190], 04 02 [Obama 243]
  • Orleans Parish, LA (New Orleans) (22) 02 06 [Obama 344, Stein 1, Johnson 1], O2 06 A [Obama 45], 05 04 [Obama 68], 05 07 [Obama 294], 08 09 [Obama 370], 09 05 [Obama 202], 09 06B [Obama 105], 09 06D [Obama 152], 09 06F [Obama 137], 09 08A [Obama 210], 09 28E [Obama 299], 09 31B [Obama 205], 09 35 [Obama 137], 09 35A [Obama 221], 09 43M [Obama 441], 09 43N [Obama 337], 10 13 [Obama 253], 10 14 [Obama 235], 11 12 [Obama 252, Other 1], 11 13 [Obama 210], 17 11 [Obama 341, Johnson 3], 17 13A [Obama 259, Stein 1, Johnson 1] Note many of them are in the 9th ward, the mostly black ward that Hurricane Katrina pretty much destroyed, not so surprising nobody there has forgiven the GOP
  • Pointe Coupee Parish, LA (2) 00 08B [Obama 69], 00 13C [Obama 35]
  • Rapides Parish, LA (1) 00 C08 [Obama 207],
  • St. James Parish, LA (2) 00 07A [Obama 126], 00 17B [Obama 4]
  • St. John the Bapist Parish, LA (1) 04 12 [Obama 18]
  • St. Landry Parish, LA (1) 01 07 [Obama 359, Goode 1, Other 1]
  • St. Martin Parish, LA (1) 03 9 [Obama 39]
  • St. Mary Parish, LA (1) 00 46 [Obama 184]
  • Tensas Parish, LA (2) 00 05 B [Obama 13, Stein 1], 00 12B [Obama 1]
  • Terrebonne Parish, LA (1) 00 115 [Obama 40]
  • West Baton Rouge Parish, LA (2) 00 25A [Obama 28], 00 33A [Obama 5]
  • West Feliciana Parish, LA (1) [Obama 107, Stein 2, Other 1]
Additional note for GOP conspiracy theorists/voter fraud types: there were numerous (mostly rather small, the largest I saw had 40 votes for Romney) precincts across Louisiana (and elsewhere) in which President Obama received 0 votes; again, not a conspiracy/voter fraud, but showing just how little support Obama got in many deep South/rural white precincts. Here's a list of some of these precincts: If places like St. Louis city, Shelby County, TN (Memphis), Harris County, TX (Houston) had precinct results available (and the precincts weren't too large), I'm sure they had precincts with 0 votes for Romney as well

1 comment:

city said...

thanks for share.